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Commit bae28cc4 authored by Ingram Jaccard's avatar Ingram Jaccard
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,jaccard,jaccard-Latitude-E6440,28.01.2021 08:58,file:///home/jaccard/.config/libreoffice/4;
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......@@ -198,14 +198,6 @@ p2 = pdat_country_summary_by_eu_ntile %>%
labs(x="", y="Energy footprint (EJ)") +
theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90))
p2 = pdat_country_summary_by_eu_ntile %>%
filter(year == 2015,
indicator == "total_adult_eq") %>%
group_by(eu_q_rank) %>%
summarise(value = sum(value),
eu_ntile_name = first(eu_ntile_name))
p3 = pdat_country_summary_by_eu_ntile %>%
filter(year == 2015,
indicator == "total_co2eq_kg") %>%
......@@ -640,11 +632,10 @@ library(flextable)
flextable(df_scenario_info) %>%
autofit() %>%
set_header_labels(scenario = "quintile",
set_header_labels(scenario = "scenario",
fe_gj_aeu = "final energy: household GJ/adult equivalence") %>%
set_caption("Decarbonisation scenarios.") %>%
fit_to_width(max_width = 7.5)
width(width = 3)
```
The various global supply side scenarios (SSP1-1.9, SSP2-1.9, GEA efficiency, IEA ETP B2DS)[@riahi_shared_2017 @gea_gea_nodate @grubler_low_2018] envisage total European energy use falling from the 2015 level of 92 EJ to around 21-31 EJ by 2050, equivalent to a per household reduction from a current average of 250 GJ to 64-94 GJ per adult equivalent. The differences in energy use in 2050 in the scenarios reflect different model assumptions about the rate of expansion of renewable energy and CCS capacity. These scenarios rely on substantial amounts of CCS starting in 2020, which is still a fairly speculative technology, and we therefore interpret them as ranges for the upper limits of 1.5°C-compatible energy supply [@riahi_shared_2017 @gea_gea_nodate].
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