Skip to content
Snippets Groups Projects
Commit b6df6589 authored by Ingram Jaccard's avatar Ingram Jaccard
Browse files

edit ms

parent 5a8f901a
No related branches found
No related tags found
No related merge requests found
No preview for this file type
No preview for this file type
No preview for this file type
No preview for this file type
No preview for this file type
...@@ -814,19 +814,19 @@ a = df_all %>% ...@@ -814,19 +814,19 @@ a = df_all %>%
labs(x="Minimum energy requirement (GJ/aeu)", y="max inequality (10:10 ratio)")+ labs(x="Minimum energy requirement (GJ/aeu)", y="max inequality (10:10 ratio)")+
theme(text=element_text(family="Liberation Sans Narrow"))# + theme(text=element_text(family="Liberation Sans Narrow"))# +
#theme_ipsum() #theme_ipsum()
a
ggsave(here("analysis", "figures", "figure5-test.pdf")) ggsave(here("analysis", "figures", "figure5-test.pdf"))
``` ```
Based on this counterfactual distribution of the energy footprint using homogeneous supply technologies, we can now scale down energy consumption across European expenditure deciles to meet supply constraints and, where necessary, "squeeze" the distribution to not undershoot minimum demand constraints in any decile. This means that, based on the current empirical distribution, for each value combination of supply and minimum necessary demand, the maximum permissible inequality can be calculated as a 10:10 ratio (Figure \@ref(fig:figure5). [*Ref to formula*] Based on this counterfactual distribution of the energy footprint using homogeneous supply technologies, we can now scale down energy use across European expenditure deciles to meet supply constraints and, where necessary, "squeeze" the distribution to not undershoot minimum energy use requirements in any decile. This means that, based on the current empirical distribution, for each value combination of energy supply and minimum energy use requirement, the maximum permissible inequality can be calculated as a 10:10 ratio (Figure \@ref(fig:figure5). [*Ref to formula*]
Starting at the low end of energy supply, both (or all three with Boell) the DLE and LED scenarios satisfy energy demand without resorting to CCS technologies. The DLE scenario explicitly envisions absolute global equality (10:10 ratio of 1) in consumption, except for small differences in required energy consumption based on climatic and demographic factors, as well as differences in population density. The LED scenario does not explicitly discuss distributional aspects beyond giving different final energy consumption values for the Global North (53GJ/cap) and the Global South (27GJ/cap). However, due to the bottom-up construction of this demand scenario, these values can be interpreted as estimates for the minimum required energy demand. Starting at the low end of energy supply, both the DLE and LED scenarios satisfy energy demand without resorting to CCS technologies. The DLE scenario explicitly envisions absolute global equality (10:10 ratio of 1) in consumption, except for small differences in required energy consumption based on climatic and demographic factors, as well as differences in population density. The LED scenario does not explicitly discuss distributional aspects beyond giving different final energy use values for the Global North (53GJ/aeu) and the Global South (27GJ/aeu). However, due to the bottom-up construction of this demand scenario, these values can be interpreted as estimates for the minimum required energy use.
The descriptions of the energy supply scenarios do not include specific details about how the energy footprints are distributed within the population. The energy savings here are achieved primarily through efficiency improvements, and perhaps also generally assumed demand reductions. However, Figure \@ref(fig:figure5) makes it clear that even with ambitious demand reductions, as in the LED scenario, a large reduction in inequality between the European expenditure deciles is required. The descriptions of the energy supply scenarios do not include specific details about how the energy footprints are distributed within the population. The energy savings here are achieved primarily through efficiency improvements, and perhaps also generally assumed demand reductions. However, Figure \@ref(fig:figure5) makes it clear that even with ambitious demand reductions, as in the LED scenario, a large reduction in inequality between the European expenditure deciles is required.
At current inequality levels, only the two scenarios with heavy CCS deployment and GEA efficiency are possible if we assume extremely low minimum energy requirements (below 27 GJ/cap). This 27 GJ/capita is the value the low-energy demand (LED) scenario gives for the global South in 2050. If we use the value given for the global North at 53 GJ/cap (with strong demand side measures) then inequality would need to be drastically reduced, the 10:10 ratio more than halved, in all scenarios (including those with CCS deployment). At current inequality levels, only the two scenarios with heavy CCS deployment and GEA efficiency are possible if we assume extremely low minimum energy use requirements (below 27 GJ/aeu). This 27 GJ/aeu is roughly the value the low-energy demand (LED) scenario gives for the Global South in 2050. If we use the value given for the Global North at 53 GJ/aeu (with strong demand side measures) then inequality would need to be drastically reduced, the 10:10 ratio more than halved, in all scenarios (including those with CCS deployment).
```{r figure5, out.width="70%", fig.align="center", fig.cap="Dings. in Figure 5, all deciles have 'best technology' already"} ```{r figure5, out.width="70%", fig.align="center", fig.cap="Mean energy available for Europe in decarbonisation scenarios, positioned in option space between a range of minimum energy requirements and range of associated maximum inequality. All expenditure deciles have 'best technology' already."}
knitr::include_graphics(here::here("analysis", "figures", "figure5-test.pdf")) knitr::include_graphics(here::here("analysis", "figures", "figure5-test.pdf"))
``` ```
......
0% Loading or .
You are about to add 0 people to the discussion. Proceed with caution.
Finish editing this message first!
Please register or to comment