Home/WP-2-Heavy-Rainfall/Heavy-Rainfall-Maps.md

+# <sup>considering climate change</sup>
+
+## Database<br><sup>Dynamical Downscaling</sup>
+Simulations|Domain
+---|---
+<b>Database[^1]:</b><br>rcp_8_5_mpi_m_mpi_esm_lr_smhi_rca4_1976-2099.nc<br>rcp_8_5_ipsl_cm5a_mr_smhi_rca4_1976-2099.nc<br>rcp_8_5_mohc_hadgem2_es_smhi_rca4_1976-2099.nc<br>rcp_8_5_ichec_ec_earth_smhi_rca4_1976-2099.nc<br>rcp_8_5_ncc_noresm1_m_smhi_rca4_1976-2099.nc<br>rcp_8_5_miroc_miroc5_clmcom_clm_cclm4_8_17_1976-2099.nc<br>rcp_8_5_cccma_canesm2_clmcom_clm_cclm4_8_17_1976-2099.nc<br>rcp_8_5_cnrm_cerfacs_cm5_clmcom_eth_cosmo_crclim_1976-2099.nc<br>rcp_8_5_mpi_m_mpi_esm_lr_clmcom_eth_cosmo_crclim_1976-2099.nc<br><br>Euro-Cordex: <i>rcp8.5, 12 x 12 km, 3-hourly</i>|![downscaling](uploads/f2a63172a2bfddcfaf034dea43f2e50b/downscaling.png){height=250px}
+
+[^1]: https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsapp#!/dataset/projections-cordex-domains-single-levels?tab=form
+
+## Scheme<br><sup>Data Processing</sup>
+
+```mermaid
+  graph LR;
+  A(<b>Simulation Database</b><br><sub>Regional Climate Model Ensemble</sub><hr><b>RCP8.5 Scenario</b><br><sub>1975 - 2100 3hr</sub><br><sup>10 x 125 yr x 365 d</sup>) ===> B(<b>Data Post-Processing</b><br><sub>using cdo: runsum, yearmax</sub><hr><b>Return Periods</b><br><sub>fitting GEV: N=300</sub>) ---> D(<b>1981 - 2010</b><br><sub>past conditions</sub>) 
+B ---> E(<b>2061 - 2090</b><br><sub>future conditions</sub>);
+  classDef a fill:ghostwhite,stroke:black,color:black;
+  class A,B a;
+  classDef d fill:dodgerblue,stroke:black,color:white;
+  class D d;
+  classDef e fill:orangered,stroke:black,color:white;
+  class E e;
+```
+
+## Results<br><sup>Return Level: 50-yr</sup>
+
+### Amman
+
+```mermaid
+---
+config:
+    xyChart:
+        width: 1000
+        height: 500
+        titleFontSize: 30
+        labelFontSize: 30
+    themeVariables:
+        xyChart:
+            titleColor: "#ff0000"
+---
+xychart-beta
+    title "Amman"
+    y-axis "Precipitation (mm)" 20 --> 100
+    x-axis "Length (hr)" [3,6,9,12]
+    line "1981-2010" [28,46,60,71]
+    line "2061-2090" [32,47,59,68]
+```
+
+### WadiMusa
+
+```mermaid
+---
+config:
+    xyChart:
+        width: 1000
+        height: 500
+        titleFontSize: 30
+    themeVariables:
+        xyChart:
+            titleColor: "#ff0000"
+---
+xychart-beta
+    title "Wadi Musa"
+    y-axis "Precipitation (mm)" 20 --> 100
+    x-axis "Length (hr)" [3,6,9,12]
+    line "1981-2010" [27,46,60,70]
+    line "2061-2090" [32,50,63,73]
+```
+
+### Aqaba
+
+```mermaid
+---
+config:
+    xyChart:
+        width: 1000
+        height: 500
+        titleFontSize: 30
+    themeVariables:
+        xyChart:
+            titleColor: "#ff0000"
+---
+xychart-beta
+    title "Aqaba"
+    y-axis "Precipitation (mm)" 20 --> 100
+    x-axis "Length (hr)" [3,6,9,12]
+    line "1981-2010" [29,48,61,69]
+    line "2061-2090" [51,78,88,96]
+```
+
+_**Fig.:** Charts showing the 50-yr return level of heavy rainfall events accumulated over 3-hr, 6-hr, 9-hr and 12-hr under past (1981-2010) and future (2061-2090) climate conditions._
+
+3-hr|6-hr
+---|---
+![r03hr_50yr](uploads/f78d4f7dcc5be39d32d3ed0a3b4472c4/r03hr_50yr.png){height=250px}|![r06hr_50yr](uploads/ba5a814416b71329c0f0a48cc5b9ebe2/r06hr_50yr.png){height=250px}
+
+9-hr|12-hr
+---|---
+![r09hr_50yr](uploads/5fb019a2927e258cfca68da5290d749f/r09hr_50yr.png){height=250px}|![r12hr_50yr](uploads/65b44b25e7dd8a15900a6bfa37d24e57/r12hr_50yr.png){height=250px}
+
+_**Fig.:** Maps showing the return level of heavy rainfall (accumulated over 3-hr, 6-hr, 9-hr and 12-hr) for a 50-yr event under past (1981-2010) and future (2061-2090) climate conditions._
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