considering climate change
Database
Dynamical Downscaling
| Simulations | Domain |
|---|---|
|
Database1: rcp_8_5_mpi_m_mpi_esm_lr_smhi_rca4_1976-2099.nc rcp_8_5_ipsl_cm5a_mr_smhi_rca4_1976-2099.nc rcp_8_5_mohc_hadgem2_es_smhi_rca4_1976-2099.nc rcp_8_5_ichec_ec_earth_smhi_rca4_1976-2099.nc rcp_8_5_ncc_noresm1_m_smhi_rca4_1976-2099.nc rcp_8_5_miroc_miroc5_clmcom_clm_cclm4_8_17_1976-2099.nc rcp_8_5_cccma_canesm2_clmcom_clm_cclm4_8_17_1976-2099.nc rcp_8_5_cnrm_cerfacs_cm5_clmcom_eth_cosmo_crclim_1976-2099.nc rcp_8_5_mpi_m_mpi_esm_lr_clmcom_eth_cosmo_crclim_1976-2099.nc Euro-Cordex: rcp8.5, 12 x 12 km, 3-hourly |
|
Scheme
Data Processing
graph LR;
A(<b>Simulation Database</b><br><sub>Regional Climate Model Ensemble</sub><hr><b>RCP8.5 Scenario</b><br><sub>1975 - 2100 3hr</sub><br><sup>10 x 125 yr x 365 d</sup>) ===> B(<b>Data Post-Processing</b><br><sub>using cdo: runsum, yearmax</sub><hr><b>Return Periods</b><br><sub>fitting GEV: N=300</sub>) ---> D(<b>1981 - 2010</b><br><sub>past conditions</sub>)
B ---> E(<b>2061 - 2090</b><br><sub>future conditions</sub>);
classDef a fill:ghostwhite,stroke:black,color:black;
class A,B a;
classDef d fill:dodgerblue,stroke:black,color:white;
class D d;
classDef e fill:orangered,stroke:black,color:white;
class E e;
Results
Return Level: 50-yr
Amman
---
config:
xyChart:
width: 1000
height: 500
titleFontSize: 30
xAxis:
labelFontSize: 20
labelPadding: 10
titleFontSize: 30
yAxis:
labelFontSize: 20
labelPadding: 10
titleFontSize: 30
themeVariables:
xyChart:
titleColor: "#ff0000"
plotColorPalette: dodgerblue,orangered
---
xychart-beta
title "Amman"
y-axis "Precipitation (mm)" 20 --> 100
x-axis "Length (hr)" [3,6,9,12,24]
line "1981-2010" [28,46,60,71,95]
line "2061-2090" [32,47,59,68,87]WadiMusa
---
config:
theme: forest
xyChart:
width: 1000
height: 500
titleFontSize: 30
xAxis:
labelFontSize: 20
labelPadding: 10
titleFontSize: 30
yAxis:
labelFontSize: 20
labelPadding: 10
titleFontSize: 30
themeVariables:
xyChart:
titleColor: "#ff0000"
plotColorPalette: dodgerblue,orangered
---
xychart-beta
title "Wadi Musa"
y-axis "Precipitation (mm)" 20 --> 100
x-axis "Length (hr)" [3,6,9,12,24]
line "1981-2010" [27,46,60,70,93]
line "2061-2090" [32,50,63,73,95]Aqaba
---
config:
xyChart:
width: 1000
height: 500
titleFontSize: 30
xAxis:
labelFontSize: 20
labelPadding: 10
titleFontSize: 30
yAxis:
labelFontSize: 20
labelPadding: 10
titleFontSize: 30
themeVariables:
xyChart:
titleColor: "#ff0000"
plotColorPalette: dodgerblue,orangered
---
xychart-beta
title "Aqaba"
y-axis "Precipitation (mm)" 20 --> 100
x-axis "Length (hr)" [3,6,9,12,24]
line "1981-2010" [29,48,61,69,86]
line "2061-2090" [51,78,88,96,99]Fig.: Charts showing the 50-yr return level of heavy rainfall events accumulated over 3-hr, 6-hr, 9-hr and 12-hr under and climate conditions.
| 3-hr | 6-hr |
|---|---|
|
|
| 9-hr | 12-hr |
|---|---|
|
|
Fig.: Maps showing the return level of heavy rainfall (accumulated over 3-hr, 6-hr, 9-hr and 12-hr) for a 50-yr event under past (1981-2010) and future (2061-2090) climate conditions.