Commit df4457ff authored by Mahé Perrette's avatar Mahé Perrette
Browse files

fixed typo % land rcp2.6 end of century

parent 57afbcaa
...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Afghanistan’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 12200 km<sup>2</sup> (1.9% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.3% to 13.3% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Afghanistan’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 24000 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 3.7% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 4.4% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 1900 to 86500 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Afghanistan’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 12200 km<sup>2</sup> (1.9% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.3% to 13.3% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Afghanistan’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 24000 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 3.7% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 4.4% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 1900 to 86500 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 64200 km<sup>2</sup> (9.8% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 16800 km<sup>2</sup> (9.8% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 31600 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 26100 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 64200 km<sup>2</sup> (9.8% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 16800 km<sup>2</sup> (2.6% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 31600 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 26100 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Albania’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 100 km<sup>2</sup> (0.2% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.0% to 7.0% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Albania’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 200 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 0.9% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 0.1% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 0 to 1900 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Albania’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 100 km<sup>2</sup> (0.2% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.0% to 7.0% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Albania’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 200 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 0.9% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 0.1% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 0 to 1900 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 300 km<sup>2</sup> (1.2% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 100 km<sup>2</sup> (1.2% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 100 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 300 km<sup>2</sup> (1.2% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 100 km<sup>2</sup> (0.3% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 100 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming United Arab Emirates’ annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 700 km<sup>2</sup> (1.0% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.0% to 35.3% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, United Arab Emirates’ annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 1200 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 1.6% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 5.3% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 0 to 25100 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming United Arab Emirates’ annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 700 km<sup>2</sup> (1.0% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.0% to 35.3% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, United Arab Emirates’ annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 1200 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 1.6% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 5.3% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 0 to 25100 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 700 km<sup>2</sup> (0.9% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 500 km<sup>2</sup> (0.9% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 300 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 700 km<sup>2</sup> (0.9% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 500 km<sup>2</sup> (0.7% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 300 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Argentina’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 28700 km<sup>2</sup> (1.0% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.3% to 7.9% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Argentina’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 59900 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 2.2% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 5.4% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 7500 to 217500 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Argentina’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 28700 km<sup>2</sup> (1.0% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.3% to 7.9% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Argentina’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 59900 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 2.2% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 5.4% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 7500 to 217500 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 104400 km<sup>2</sup> (3.8% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 29900 km<sup>2</sup> (3.8% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 61800 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 56200 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 104400 km<sup>2</sup> (3.8% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 29900 km<sup>2</sup> (1.1% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 61800 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 56200 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Armenia’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 400 km<sup>2</sup> (1.5% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.1% to 22.9% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Armenia’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 600 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 2.2% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 6.9% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 0 to 6500 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Armenia’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 400 km<sup>2</sup> (1.5% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.1% to 22.9% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Armenia’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 600 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 2.2% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 6.9% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 0 to 6500 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 1500 km<sup>2</sup> (5.4% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 100 km<sup>2</sup> (5.4% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 600 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 600 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 1500 km<sup>2</sup> (5.4% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 100 km<sup>2</sup> (0.4% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 600 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 600 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Australia’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 35900 km<sup>2</sup> (0.5% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.0% to 10.0% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Australia’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 167500 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 2.2% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 8.2% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 600 to 771400 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Australia’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 35900 km<sup>2</sup> (0.5% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.0% to 10.0% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Australia’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 167500 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 2.2% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 8.2% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 600 to 771400 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 283000 km<sup>2</sup> (3.7% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 222200 km<sup>2</sup> (3.7% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 106700 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 143200 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 283000 km<sup>2</sup> (3.7% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 222200 km<sup>2</sup> (2.9% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 106700 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 143200 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Austria’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 300 km<sup>2</sup> (0.4% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.5% to 7.8% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Austria’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 200 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 0.2% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 0.3% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -400 to 6400 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Austria’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 300 km<sup>2</sup> (0.4% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.5% to 7.8% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Austria’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 200 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 0.2% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 0.3% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -400 to 6400 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 600 km<sup>2</sup> (0.8% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 300 km<sup>2</sup> (0.8% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 400 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 600 km<sup>2</sup> (0.8% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 300 km<sup>2</sup> (0.3% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 400 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Azerbaijan’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 1000 km<sup>2</sup> (1.3% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.1% to 13.3% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Azerbaijan’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 2400 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 2.9% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 3.9% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 100 to 11000 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Azerbaijan’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 1000 km<sup>2</sup> (1.3% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.1% to 13.3% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Azerbaijan’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 2400 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 2.9% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 3.9% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 100 to 11000 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 5300 km<sup>2</sup> (6.5% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 1300 km<sup>2</sup> (6.5% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 1300 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 2300 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 5300 km<sup>2</sup> (6.5% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 1300 km<sup>2</sup> (1.5% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 1300 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 2300 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Belgium’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already smaller and amount to 0 km<sup>2</sup> (0.0% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.5% to 0.8% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Belgium’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to decrease by 0 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 0.0% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 0% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -200 to 200 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Belgium’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already smaller and amount to 0 km<sup>2</sup> (0.0% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.5% to 0.8% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Belgium’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to decrease by 0 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 0.0% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 0% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -200 to 200 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to decrease by 0 km<sup>2</sup> (0.0% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> (0.0% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to decrease by 0 km<sup>2</sup> (0.0% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> (-0.0% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Benin’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 1500 km<sup>2</sup> (1.3% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.1% to 27.0% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Benin’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 4200 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 3.7% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 3.5% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 100 to 30400 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Benin’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 1500 km<sup>2</sup> (1.3% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.1% to 27.0% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Benin’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 4200 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 3.7% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 3.5% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 100 to 30400 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 5200 km<sup>2</sup> (4.6% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 6200 km<sup>2</sup> (4.6% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 1900 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 2100 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 5200 km<sup>2</sup> (4.6% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 6200 km<sup>2</sup> (5.5% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 1900 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 2100 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Burkina Faso’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 2300 km<sup>2</sup> (0.8% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.4% to 22.5% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Burkina Faso’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 4900 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 1.8% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 4.9% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -1200 to 61700 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Burkina Faso’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 2300 km<sup>2</sup> (0.8% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.4% to 22.5% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Burkina Faso’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 4900 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 1.8% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 4.9% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -1200 to 61700 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 10900 km<sup>2</sup> (4.0% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 9600 km<sup>2</sup> (4.0% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 2100 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 5500 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 10900 km<sup>2</sup> (4.0% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 9600 km<sup>2</sup> (3.5% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 2100 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 5500 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Bangladesh’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 400 km<sup>2</sup> (0.3% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.4% to 4.9% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Bangladesh’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 400 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 0.3% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 0.1% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -500 to 6300 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Bangladesh’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 400 km<sup>2</sup> (0.3% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.4% to 4.9% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Bangladesh’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 400 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 0.3% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 0.1% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -500 to 6300 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 300 km<sup>2</sup> (0.2% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 100 km<sup>2</sup> (0.2% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 200 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 300 km<sup>2</sup> (0.2% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 100 km<sup>2</sup> (0.1% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 200 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Bulgaria’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 2600 km<sup>2</sup> (2.4% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.1% to 23.7% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Bulgaria’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 3700 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 3.4% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 1.5% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 100 to 25800 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Bulgaria’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 2600 km<sup>2</sup> (2.4% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.1% to 23.7% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Bulgaria’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 3700 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 3.4% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 1.5% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 100 to 25800 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 5500 km<sup>2</sup> (5.1% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 4400 km<sup>2</sup> (5.1% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 1000 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 2000 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 5500 km<sup>2</sup> (5.1% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 4400 km<sup>2</sup> (4.0% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 1000 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 2000 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Bahamas’ annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 0 km<sup>2</sup> (0.2% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.3% to 20.4% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Bahamas’ annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 0 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 0.3% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 0.2% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 0 to 2000 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Bahamas’ annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 0 km<sup>2</sup> (0.2% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.3% to 20.4% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Bahamas’ annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 0 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 0.3% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 0.2% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 0 to 2000 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 100 km<sup>2</sup> (1.1% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> (1.1% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 100 km<sup>2</sup> (1.1% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> (0.0% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Bosnia and Herzegovina’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 400 km<sup>2</sup> (0.8% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.1% to 15.4% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Bosnia and Herzegovina’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 700 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 1.3% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 0.9% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -100 to 7900 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Bosnia and Herzegovina’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 400 km<sup>2</sup> (0.8% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.1% to 15.4% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Bosnia and Herzegovina’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 700 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 1.3% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 0.9% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -100 to 7900 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 1400 km<sup>2</sup> (2.8% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 200 km<sup>2</sup> (2.8% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 100 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 400 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 1400 km<sup>2</sup> (2.8% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 200 km<sup>2</sup> (0.4% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 100 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 400 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Belize’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already smaller and amount to 0 km<sup>2</sup> (0.0% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -1.2% to 2.9% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Belize’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 100 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 0.5% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 2.0% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -300 to 700 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Belize’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already smaller and amount to 0 km<sup>2</sup> (0.0% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -1.2% to 2.9% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Belize’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 100 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 0.5% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 2.0% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -300 to 700 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 500 km<sup>2</sup> (2.2% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> (2.2% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 500 km<sup>2</sup> (2.2% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> (-0.1% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Bolivia’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 11500 km<sup>2</sup> (1.1% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 1.0% to 17.2% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Bolivia’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 45300 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 4.2% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 3.8% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 10600 to 186600 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Bolivia’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 11500 km<sup>2</sup> (1.1% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 1.0% to 17.2% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Bolivia’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 45300 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 4.2% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 3.8% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 10600 to 186600 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 82400 km<sup>2</sup> (7.6% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 45300 km<sup>2</sup> (7.6% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 25200 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 22500 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 82400 km<sup>2</sup> (7.6% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 45300 km<sup>2</sup> (4.2% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 25200 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 22500 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Brazil’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 84700 km<sup>2</sup> (1.0% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.5% to 15.2% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Brazil’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 208700 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 2.5% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 2.4% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 39700 to 1267700 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Brazil’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 84700 km<sup>2</sup> (1.0% of the land area). The level of change ranges from 0.5% to 15.2% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Brazil’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 208700 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 2.5% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 2.4% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from 39700 to 1267700 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 296400 km<sup>2</sup> (3.5% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 209400 km<sup>2</sup> (3.5% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 155900 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 91900 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 296400 km<sup>2</sup> (3.5% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 209400 km<sup>2</sup> (2.5% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 155900 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 91900 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Bhutan’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 0 km<sup>2</sup> (0.1% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.4% to 7.0% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Bhutan’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 400 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 1.0% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 1.4% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -100 to 2700 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Bhutan’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 0 km<sup>2</sup> (0.1% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.4% to 7.0% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Bhutan’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 400 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 1.0% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 1.4% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -100 to 2700 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 1400 km<sup>2</sup> (3.6% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> (3.6% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 200 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 1400 km<sup>2</sup> (3.6% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 0 km<sup>2</sup> (-0.0% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 200 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 0 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan ...@@ -64,7 +64,7 @@ Our definition of “drought” is quite strict, such that, without climate chan
However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Botswana’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 2100 km<sup>2</sup> (0.4% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.3% to 37.4% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Botswana’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 5500 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 1.0% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 1.0% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -1800 to 211700 km<sup>2</sup>. However, at today’s level of 1°C global warming Botswana’s annual land area affected by droughts is, on average, already larger and amount to 2100 km<sup>2</sup> (0.4% of the land area). The level of change ranges from -0.3% to 37.4% for the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models. At 2°C of global warming, Botswana’s annual land area affected by droughts is projected to increase by 5500 km<sup>2</sup> (i.e. 1.0% of the land area) on average in comparison to a world without climate change. Under these conditions, 1.0% of the land area would be affected by droughts each year, on average. Across the individual combinations of global hydrological models and global climate models this expected level of change ranges from -1800 to 211700 km<sup>2</sup>.
Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 5600 km<sup>2</sup> (1.0% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 2800 km<sup>2</sup> (1.0% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 1400 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 2500 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0. Following the higher-emissions scenario (RCP6.0) the land area affected by droughts is expected to increase by 5600 km<sup>2</sup> (1.0% of the land area) towards the end of the century (2081-2100). Following the low emission scenario (RCP2.6) the change would only reach 2800 km<sup>2</sup> (0.5% of the land area). By the middle of the century, changes reach 1400 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP2.6 and 2500 km<sup>2</sup> under RCP6.0.
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