diff --git a/scripts/output/single/notebook_templates/EDGETransportReport.Rmd b/scripts/output/single/notebook_templates/EDGETransportReport.Rmd
index 20e7b74c78da0e3abc926c4181f50af9a0a0feee..59bbb6ea81218f44fd2b63963fc31156177ea44b 100644
--- a/scripts/output/single/notebook_templates/EDGETransportReport.Rmd
+++ b/scripts/output/single/notebook_templates/EDGETransportReport.Rmd
@@ -14,20 +14,24 @@ require(remind)
require(gdxdt)
require(gdx)
require(rmndt)
-require(data.table)
-
+require(magclass)
+require(quitte)
+require(ggpubr)
+require(gridExtra)
require(edgeTrpLib)
```
```{r, echo=FALSE, warning=FALSE}
+iso_plot = "DEU"
+output_folder = "EDGE-T/"
-dem_shares <- list()
-intensity <- list()
-demand_km <- list()
-demand_ej <- list()
-sw_tech <- list()
-prices_FV <- list()
+cols <- c("NG" = "#d11141",
+ "Liquids" = "#8c8c8c",
+ "Hybrid Liquids" = "#ffc425",
+ "Hybrid Electric" = "#f37735",
+ "BEV" = "#00b159",
+ "FCEV" = "#00aedb")
datapath <- function(fname){
file.path("./input_EDGE/", fname)
@@ -37,6 +41,7 @@ mapspath <- function(fname, scenariopath=""){
file.path("../../modules/35_transport/edge_esm/input", fname)
}
+
## Load mappings
EDGE2CESmap <- fread(mapspath("mapping_CESnodes_EDGE.csv"))
@@ -45,614 +50,510 @@ REMIND2ISO_MAPPING <- fread("../../config/regionmappingH12.csv")[, .(iso = Count
EDGE2teESmap <- fread(mapspath("mapping_EDGE_REMIND_transport_categories.csv"))
-years <- c(1990,
+REMINDyears <- c(1990,
seq(2005, 2060, by = 5),
seq(2070, 2110, by = 10),
2130, 2150)
-REMINDyears <- c(1990,
+years <- c(1990,
seq(2005, 2060, by = 5),
seq(2070, 2110, by = 10),
2130, 2150)
-## include the paths to the scenarios you want to compare
-output_folders <- "./"
-
-for(output_folder in output_folders){
- ## load gdx for fuel prices and demand
- gdx = file.path(output_folder, "fulldata.gdx")
- ## load policy scenario
- load(file.path(output_folder, "config.Rdata"))
- REMIND_scenario <- cfg$gms$cm_GDPscen
- EDGE_scenario <- cfg$gms$cm_EDGEtr_scen
- policy_scenario <- cfg$gms$c_expname
-
- scen <- paste0(REMIND_scenario, "-", EDGE_scenario, "-", policy_scenario)
-
- ## load demand
- ES_demand = readREMINDdemand(gdx, REMIND2ISO_MAPPING, EDGE2teESmap, years)
-
- ## load input data
- int_dat <- readRDS(datapath("harmonized_intensities.RDS"))
- nonfuel_costs <- readRDS(datapath("UCD_NEC_iso.RDS"))
- sw_data <- readRDS(datapath("SW.RDS"))
- vot_data <- readRDS(datapath("VOT_iso.RDS"))
- logit_params <- readRDS(datapath("logit_exp.RDS"))
- price_nonmot <- readRDS(datapath("price_nonmot.RDS"))
-
- ## FIXME: hotfix to make the (empty) vot_data$value_time_VS1 with the right column types. Probably there is another way to do that, did not look for it.
- vot_data$value_time_VS1$iso = as.character(vot_data$value_time_VS1$iso)
- vot_data$value_time_VS1$subsector_L1 = as.character(vot_data$value_time_VS1$subsector_L1)
- vot_data$value_time_VS1$vehicle_type = as.character(vot_data$value_time_VS1$vehicle_type)
- vot_data$value_time_VS1$year = as.numeric(vot_data$value_time_VS1$year)
- vot_data$value_time_VS1$time_price = as.numeric(vot_data$value_time_VS1$time_price)
-
- ## calculate prices
- REMIND_prices <- merge_prices(
- gdx = gdx,
- REMINDmapping = REMIND2ISO_MAPPING,
- REMINDyears = REMINDyears,
- intensity_data = int_dat,
- nonfuel_costs = nonfuel_costs)
-
- ## calculates logit
- logit_data <- calculate_logit(
- REMIND_prices[tot_price > 0],
- REMIND2ISO_MAPPING,
- vot_data = vot_data,
- sw_data = sw_data,
- logit_params = logit_params,
- intensity_data = int_dat,
- price_nonmot = price_nonmot)
-
-
- shares <- logit_data[["share_list"]] ## shares of alternatives for each level of the logit function
- mj_km_data <- logit_data[["mj_km_data"]] ## energy intensity at a technology level
- prices_FV[[scen]] <- REMIND_prices[, EDGE_scenario := scen] ## prices at each level of the logit function, 1990USD/pkm
-
- ## calculate energy intensity and FE demand at a REMIND-region level for the desired level of aggregation
- res <- shares_intensity_and_demand(
- logit_shares=shares,
- MJ_km_base=mj_km_data,
- REMIND2ISO_MAPPING=REMIND2ISO_MAPPING,
- EDGE2CESmap=EDGE2CESmap,
- REMINDyears=REMINDyears,
- demand_input=ES_demand)
-
- dem_shares[[scen]] <- res$demand[, EDGE_scenario := scen]
- intensity[[scen]] <- res$demandI[, EDGE_scenario := scen]
- demand_km[[scen]] <- res$demandF_plot_pkm[, EDGE_scenario := scen]
- demand_ej[[scen]] <- res$demandF_plot_EJ[, EDGE_scenario := scen]
- sw_tech[[scen]] <- sw_data$FV_final_SW[, EDGE_scenario := scen]
-}
+load("config.Rdata")
-dem_shares <- rbindlist(dem_shares)
-intensity <- rbindlist(intensity)
-demand_km <- rbindlist(demand_km)
-demand_ej <- rbindlist(demand_ej)
-sw_tech <- rbindlist(sw_tech)
-prices_FV <- rbindlist(prices_FV)
-```
+EDGE_scenario <- cfg$gms$cm_EDGEtr_scen
+## load EDGE settings and apply them
+settingsEDGE = readRDS(paste0(output_folder, "settingsEDGE.RDS"))
+selfmarket_taxes <<- as.logical(settingsEDGE[settings == "selfmarket_taxes", value])
+selfmarket_policypush <<- as.logical(settingsEDGE[settings == "selfmarket_policypush", value])
+selfmarket_acceptancy <<- as.logical(settingsEDGE[settings == "selfmarket_acceptancy", value])
+techswitch <<- settingsEDGE[settings == "techswitch", value]
+enhancedtech <<- as.logical(settingsEDGE[settings == "enhancedtech", value])
+rebates_febates <<- as.logical(settingsEDGE[settings == "rebates_febates", value])
-```{r, echo=FALSE}
-## plot settings
-years_plot = c(2010,2015,2020,2025,2030,2040,2050) ## in bar charts, these are the time steps that are represented
-year_single = 2050
-region_plot = "NEU" ## in case is a region specific plot, this region is represented
-sector_plot ="trn_pass" ## in case is a sector specific plot, this sector is represented
+## models of ICE are available to consumers?
+endogeff <<-TRUE
+## save intermediate input for plotting purposes
+savetmpinput <<- TRUE
-##conversion rate 2005->1990 USD
-CONV_2005USD_1990USD=0.67
+## is learning applied?
+setlearning <<- TRUE
-# print(paste0("Scenario: ", REMIND_scenario))
-print(paste0("Regional plots are about ",region_plot))
-print(paste0("Sectoral plots are about ",sector_plot))
+## load input data from REMIND
+gdx = paste0("fulldata.gdx") ## gdx file
+name_mif = list.files(pattern = "REMIND_generic", full.names = F)
+name_mif = name_mif[!grepl("withoutPlu", name_mif)]
+miffile <- as.data.table(read.quitte(name_mif))
-## maps
-cesmap <- data.table(CES_parent=c("_p_sm", "_p_lo", "_f_lo", "_f_sm"),
- CES_label=c("Passenger, Short-to-Medium Distances",
- "Passenger, Long Distances",
- "Freight, Long Distances",
- "Freight, Short-to-Medium Distances"))
+## load input data from EDGE
+input_path = paste0("../../modules/35_transport/edge_esm/input/")
-EDGE_sectormap <- data.table(sector=c("trn_pass", "trn_freight", "trn_aviation_intl", "trn_shipping_intl"),
- CES_label=c("Passenger, Short-to-Medium Distances",
- "Passenger, Long Distances",
- "Freight, Long Distances",
- "Freight, Short-to-Medium Distances"))
+inputdata = createRDS(input_path, SSP_scenario = scenario, EDGE_scenario = EDGE_scenario)
+vot_data = inputdata$vot_data
+sw_data = inputdata$sw_data
+inco_data = inputdata$inco_data
+logit_params = inputdata$logit_params
+int_dat = inputdata$int_dat
+nonfuel_costs = inputdata$nonfuel_costs
+price_nonmot = inputdata$price_nonmot
-```
+## load total energy services demand
+ES_demand = readREMINDdemand(gdx, REMIND2ISO_MAPPING, EDGE2teESmap, REMINDyears)
+if (setlearning) {
+ ## load non fuel costs based on learning
+ nonfuel_costs = readRDS(paste0("nonfuel_costs_learning.RDS"))
+}
-```{r, echo=FALSE}
-## aggregate demands to REMIND regions
-demandF_plot_EJ <- demand_ej[,c("EDGE_scenario", "sector","subsector_L3","subsector_L2",
- "subsector_L1","vehicle_type","technology", "iso","year","demand_EJ")]
-demandF_plot_pkm <- demand_km[,c("EDGE_scenario", "sector","subsector_L3","subsector_L2",
- "subsector_L1","vehicle_type","technology","iso","year","demand_F")]
-
-demandF_plot_EJ=aggregate_dt(demandF_plot_EJ,REMIND2ISO_MAPPING,
- datacols = c("EDGE_scenario", "sector", "subsector_L3", "subsector_L2", "subsector_L1",
- "vehicle_type", "technology"),
- valuecol = "demand_EJ")
-
-demandF_plot_pkm=aggregate_dt(demandF_plot_pkm,REMIND2ISO_MAPPING,
- datacol = c("EDGE_scenario", "sector","subsector_L3","subsector_L2",
- "subsector_L1","vehicle_type","technology"),
- valuecol = "demand_F")
-## add GLO
-glo <- demandF_plot_pkm[,.(region="GLO", demand_F=sum(demand_F)),
- by=eval(names(demandF_plot_pkm)[2:9])]
-demandF_plot_pkm <- rbind(demandF_plot_pkm, glo)
-glo <- demandF_plot_EJ[,.(region="GLO", demand_EJ=sum(demand_EJ)),
- by=eval(names(demandF_plot_EJ)[2:9])]
-demandF_plot_EJ <- rbind(demandF_plot_EJ, glo)
+## calculate prices
+REMIND_prices <- merge_prices(
+ gdx = gdx,
+ REMINDmapping = REMIND2ISO_MAPPING,
+ REMINDyears = REMINDyears,
+ intensity_data = int_dat,
+ nonfuel_costs = nonfuel_costs)
+
+## calculate logit
+logit_data <- calculate_logit_inconv_endog(
+ prices= REMIND_prices[tot_price > 0],
+ vot_data = vot_data,
+ inco_data = inco_data,
+ logit_params = logit_params,
+ intensity_data = int_dat,
+ price_nonmot = price_nonmot)
+
+shares <- logit_data[["share_list"]] ## shares of alternatives for each level of the logit function
+mj_km_data <- logit_data[["mj_km_data"]] ## energy intensity at a technology level
+prices <- logit_data[["prices_list"]] ## prices at each level of the logit function, 1990USD/pkm
+sales_LDV <- logit_data[["annual_sales"]] ## annual sales composition of LDVs, %
+inco_tech <- logit_data$inconv_cost ## inconvenience cost, 1990USD/pkm
+
+if(savetmpinput){
+ saveRDS(logit_data$share_list, file = paste0(output_folder, "/share_newvehicles.RDS"))
+ saveRDS(logit_data$EF_shares, file = paste0(output_folder, "EF_shares.RDS"))
+ saveRDS(logit_data$mj_km_data, file= paste0(output_folder, "mj_km_data.RDS"))
+ saveRDS(nonfuel_costs, file=paste0(output_folder, "nonfuel_costs.RDS"))
+ saveRDS(inco_tech, file=paste0(output_folder, "inco_costs.RDS"))
+ saveRDS(REMIND_prices, file=paste0(output_folder, "fuel_prices.RDS"))
+}
+
+## calculate vintages (new shares, prices, intensity)
+vintages = calcVint(shares = shares,
+ totdem_regr = ES_demand[sector == "trn_pass"],
+ prices = prices,
+ mj_km_data = mj_km_data,
+ years = years)
+
+shares$FV_shares = vintages[["shares"]]$FV_shares ## the shares need to be updated with the vintages calculations
+prices = vintages[["prices"]] ## prices as well
+mj_km_data = vintages[["mj_km_data"]] ## ... and energy intensity as well
+vintcomp = vintages[["vintcomp"]] ## composition of vintages
+newcomp = vintages[["newcomp"]] ## composition of new additions
-```
-## ES
-
-
-```{r, echo=FALSE}
-##chunk of code that plots the ES
-ES_modes_bar1=function(demandpkm){
- #group by subsector_L3 and summarise the demand
- df=demandpkm[, .(demand_F=sum(demand_F)
- ), by = c("EDGE_scenario", "region", "year","sector","subsector_L1")]
- df[,demand_F:=demand_F ## in millionkm
- *1e-6 ## in trillion km
- ]
- df=df[order(year)]
- # #filter only 2020, 2050 and 2100
- df=df[year %in% years_plot,]
- #separate into passenger and freight categories
- pass=c("trn_pass","trn_aviation_intl")
- freight=c("trn_freight","trn_shipping_intl")
- ## give proper names to the categories
- df=merge(df, edgeTrpLib::L1mapping, all.x=TRUE, by="subsector_L1")
- #plot
- plot_p=ggplot()+
- geom_bar(data=df%>%filter(sector %in% pass, year %in% years_plot, region == region_plot),
- aes(x=year,y=demand_F,group=mode,fill=mode),position=position_stack(),stat="identity")+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario)+
- ggtitle("Energy Services Demand - Passenger Transport Modes")+
- theme_light()+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1))+
- scale_x_continuous(breaks=years_plot)+
- xlab("Year")+
- ylab("Energy Services Demand (trillion pkm)")+
- guides(fill=guide_legend(title="Transport mode"))+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1),
- axis.text = element_text(size=13),
- title = element_text(size=13),
- legend.text = element_text(size=13))
-
- plot_f=ggplot()+
- geom_bar(data=df%>%filter(sector %in% freight,year %in% years_plot, region == region_plot),
- aes(x=year,y=demand_F,group=mode,fill=mode),position=position_stack(),stat="identity")+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario)+
- ggtitle("Energy Services Demand - Freight Transport Modes")+
- theme_light()+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1))+
- scale_x_continuous(breaks=years_plot)+
- xlab("Year")+
- ylab("Energy Services Demand (trillion tkm)")+
- guides(fill=guide_legend(title="Transport mode"))+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1),
- axis.text = element_text(size=13),
- title = element_text(size=13),
- legend.text = element_text(size=13))
-
- plot=list(plot_p,plot_f)
- return(plot)
+if (savetmpinput) {
+ saveRDS(vintages, file=paste0(output_folder, fname = "vintages.RDS"))
}
-p=ES_modes_bar1(demandpkm=demandF_plot_pkm)
-p[[1]]
-p[[2]]
+## calculate energy intensity and FE demand at a REMIND-region level for the desired level of aggregation
+res <- shares_intensity_and_demand(
+ logit_shares=shares,
+ MJ_km_base=mj_km_data,
+ REMIND2ISO_MAPPING=REMIND2ISO_MAPPING,
+ EDGE2CESmap=EDGE2CESmap,
+ REMINDyears=REMINDyears,
+ demand_input = ES_demand)
-```
-```{r, echo=FALSE}
-##chunk of code that plots the ES
-ES_modes_bar=function(demandpkm){
- demandpkm[technology == "LA-BEV", technology := "BEV"]
- ## use proper non-fuel mode names
- demandpkm[technology %in% c("Cycle_tmp_technology", "Walk_tmp_technology"), technology := "Human Powered"]
- #group by subsector_L3 and summarise the demand
- df=demandpkm[, .(demand_F=sum(demand_F)),
- by = c("EDGE_scenario", "region", "year","sector","subsector_L1", "technology")]
- df[,demand_F:=demand_F ## in millionkm
- *1e-6 ## in trillion km
- ]
- df=df[order(year)]
- #separate into passenger and freight categories
- pass=c("trn_pass","trn_aviation_intl")
- freight=c("trn_freight","trn_shipping_intl")
- ## give proper names to the categories
- df=merge(df, edgeTrpLib::L1mapping, all.x=TRUE, by="subsector_L1")
- #plot
- plot_p=ggplot()+
- geom_bar(data=df%>%filter(sector %in% pass,year %in% years_plot,region==region_plot),
- aes(x=year,y=demand_F,group=technology,fill=technology),
- position=position_stack(),stat="identity")+
- ggtitle("Energy Services Demand by Technology, Passenger Transport, EUR")+
- theme_light()+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario)+
- scale_x_continuous(breaks=years_plot)+
- xlab("Year")+
- ylab("Energy Services Demand (trillion pkm)")+
- guides(fill=guide_legend(title="Technology"))+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1),
- axis.text = element_text(size=13),
- title = element_text(size=13),
- legend.text = element_text(size=13))
-
- plot_f=ggplot()+
- geom_bar(data=df%>%filter(sector %in% freight,year %in% years_plot, region==region_plot),
- aes(x=year,y=demand_F, group=technology, fill=technology),
- position=position_stack(),stat="identity")+
- ggtitle(paste0("Energy Services Demand by Technology, Freight Transport, ", region_plot))+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario) +
- theme_light()+
- scale_x_continuous(breaks=years_plot)+
- xlab("Year")+
- ylab("Energy Services Demand (trllion tkm)")+
- guides(fill=guide_legend(title="Technology"))+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1),
- axis.text = element_text(size=13),
- title = element_text(size=13),
- legend.text = element_text(size=13))
-
- plot=list(plot_p,plot_f)
- return(plot)
-}
+if(savetmpinput){
+ saveRDS(res$demandF_plot_EJ, file=paste0(output_folder, "demandF_plot_EJ.RDS"))
+ saveRDS(res$demandF_plot_pkm, file=paste0(output_folder, "demandF_plot_pkm.RDS"))
+ }
-p=ES_modes_bar(demandpkm=demandF_plot_pkm)
-p[[1]]
-p[[2]]
+
+demand_km <- res$demandF_plot_pkm ## detailed energy services demand, million km
+demand_ej <- res$demandF_plot_EJ ## detailed final energy demand, EJ
+sharesVS1 <- shares$VS1_shares ## shares at vehicle type level
+sharesFV <- shares$FV_shares ## shares at fuel type level
```
-```{r, echo=FALSE}
-## plot ES for LDVs only divided by fuel
-ES_modes_LDV_bar=function(demandpkm){
- demandpkm[technology == "LA-BEV", technology := "BEV"]
- ## use proper non-fuel mode names
- demandpkm[technology %in% c("Cycle_tmp_technology", "Walk_tmp_technology"), technology := "Human Powered"]
- #group by subsector_L3 and summarise the demand
- df=demandpkm[, .(demand_F=sum(demand_F)),
- by = c("EDGE_scenario", "region", "year","sector","subsector_L1", "technology")]
- df[,demand_F:=demand_F ## in millionkm
- *1e-6 ## in trillion km
- ]
- df=df[order(year)]
- ## give proper names to the categories
- df=merge(df, edgeTrpLib::L1mapping, all.x=TRUE, by="subsector_L1")
-
-
- ## select order of facets
- df$technology = factor(df$technology, levels=c("Liquids","Hybrid Liquids","NG","BEV","FCEV"))
-
- #plot
- plot_LDV=ggplot()+
- geom_bar(data=df%>%filter(year %in% years_plot,region==region_plot, mode %in% c("4W","2W")),
- aes(x=year,y=demand_F,group=technology,fill=technology), alpha = 0.9,
- position=position_stack(),stat="identity")+
- ggtitle(paste0("Energy Services Demand by Technology, LDVs", region_plot))+
- theme_light()+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario)+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1))+
- xlab("Year")+
- ylab("Energy Services Demand (trillion pkm)")+
- guides(fill=guide_legend(title="Technology"))+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1),
- axis.text = element_text(size=13),
- title = element_text(size=13),
- legend.text = element_text(size=13),
- strip.text.x = element_text(size = 13, color = "black"),
- strip.background=element_rect(fill="white"))+
- scale_x_continuous(breaks=years_plot)+
- scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1")
-
-
- return(plot_LDV)
-}
+# LDVs vintages
-p=ES_modes_LDV_bar(demandpkm=demandF_plot_pkm)
+```{r, echo=FALSE, warning=FALSE}
-p
+plotVint = function(vintcomp, newcomp, sharesVS1){
+ vintcomp = vintcomp[,.(totdem, iso, subsector_L1, year, technology,vehicle_type, sector, sharetech_vint, EDGE_scenario)]
+ newcomp = newcomp[,.(iso, subsector_L1, year, technology,vehicle_type, sector, sharetech_new, EDGE_scenario)]
+
+ allfleet = merge(newcomp, vintcomp, all =TRUE, by = c("iso", "sector", "subsector_L1", "vehicle_type", "technology", "year", "EDGE_scenario"))
+ allfleet = merge(allfleet, sharesVS1[,.(shareVS1 = share, iso, year, vehicle_type, subsector_L1)], all.x=TRUE, by = c("iso", "year", "vehicle_type", "subsector_L1"))
+ allfleet[,vintdem:=totdem*sharetech_vint*shareVS1]
+ allfleet[,newdem:=totdem*sharetech_new*shareVS1]
+ allfleet=melt(allfleet, id.vars = c("iso", "sector", "subsector_L1", "vehicle_type", "technology",
+ "year", "EDGE_scenario"), measure.vars = c("vintdem", "newdem"))
+ allfleet[,alpha:=ifelse(variable == "vintdem", 0, 1)]
+
+ load_factor = 2
+ annual_mileage = 15000
+ allfleet = allfleet[,.(value = sum(value/load_factor/annual_mileage)), by = c("iso", "technology", "variable", "year")]
+
+ allfleet = merge(allfleet, REMIND2ISO_MAPPING, by = "iso")
+ allfleet = allfleet[,.(value = sum(value)), by = c("region", "technology", "variable", "year")]
+ allfleet[,alphaval := ifelse(variable =="vintdem", 1,0)]
+
+
+ p = ggplot()+
+ geom_bar(data = allfleet[year %in% c(2015,2030,2050)],
+ aes(x=as.character(year),y=value, group=interaction(variable, technology),
+ fill = technology), alpha = 0.5, position="stack", stat = "identity", width = 0.5)+
+ geom_bar(data = allfleet[year %in% c(2015,2030,2050)],
+ aes(x=as.character(year),y=value, group=interaction(variable, technology),
+ fill = technology, alpha = factor(alphaval)), position="stack", stat = "identity", width = 0.5, color = "black")+
+ guides(fill = guide_legend(reverse=TRUE))+
+ theme_minimal()+
+ facet_wrap(~region, nrow = 4)+
+ theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1),
+ axis.text = element_text(size=7),
+ title = element_text(size=8),
+ legend.text = element_text(size=8))+
+ scale_x_discrete(breaks = c(2015,2030,2050))+
+ scale_alpha_discrete(breaks = c(1,0), name = "Status", labels = c("Vintages","New additions")) +
+ guides(linetype=FALSE,
+ fill=guide_legend(reverse=FALSE, title="Transport mode"))+
+ scale_fill_manual(values = cols)+
+ labs(y = "LDV fleet [million Veh]", x="")
-```
+ return(p)
+ }
-## FE
-
-```{r, echo=FALSE}
-FE_modes_bar=function(demandEJ){
- #group by subsector_L1 and summarise the demand
- df=demandEJ[, .(demand_EJ=sum(demand_EJ)),
- by = c("EDGE_scenario", "region", "year","subsector_L1","subsector_L3","sector")]
- df=df[order(year)]
- df=df[year %in% years_plot,]
- #separate into passenger and freight categories
- pass=c("trn_pass","trn_aviation_intl")
- freight=c("trn_freight","trn_shipping_intl")
- ## give proper names to the categories
- df <- merge(df, edgeTrpLib::L1mapping, all.x=TRUE, by="subsector_L1")
- #plot
- plot_p=ggplot()+
- geom_bar(data=df%>%filter(sector %in% pass, region==region_plot),
- aes(x=year,y=demand_EJ,group=mode,fill=mode),position=position_stack(),stat="identity",color="black")+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario)+
- ylab("Energy (EJ)") +
- ggtitle(paste0("Final Energy Demand by Mode, Passenger, ", region_plot))+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90))+
- scale_x_continuous(breaks=years_plot)
-
- plot_f=ggplot()+
- geom_bar(data=df%>%filter(sector %in% freight,region==region_plot),
- aes(x=year,y=demand_EJ,group=mode,fill=mode),position=position_stack(),stat="identity",color="black")+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario) +
- ggtitle(paste0("Final Energy Demand by Mode, Freight, ", region_plot))+
- ylab("Energy (EJ)") +
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90))+
- scale_x_continuous(breaks=years_plot)
-
- plot=list(plot_p,plot_f)
- return(plot)
-}
-p=FE_modes_bar(demandEJ = demandF_plot_EJ)
-p[[1]]
-p[[2]]
+p = plotVint(vintcomp, newcomp, sharesVS1)
+
+p
+
```
-```{r, echo=FALSE}
-## function that calculates FE split and splits out the liquids by source
-FE_modes_bar_oilcomponent=function(demandEJ, msect="trn_pass", region_plot){
- if(msect == "trn_pass")
- sector_display = "Passenger"
- if(msect == "trn_freight")
- sector_display = "Freight"
-
- #group by subsector_L1 and summarise the demand
- df=demandEJ[, .(demand_EJ=sum(demand_EJ)),
- by = c("EDGE_scenario", "region", "year","subsector_L1","subsector_L3","sector","technology")]
- df=df[order(year)]
- df=df[year %in% years_plot,]
- ## give proper names to the categories
- df=merge(df, edgeTrpLib::L1mapping, all.x=TRUE, by="subsector_L1")
-
- df[,technology := ifelse(technology == "LA-BEV", "BEV", technology)]
- df[,technology := ifelse(technology == "Electric", "El. Trains", technology)]
- ## select order of facerts
- df$technology = factor(df$technology, levels=c("BEV","FCEV","Hybrid Liquids", "El. Trains", "NG","Liquids", "Coal"))
-
- #plot
- plot_psm = ggplot()+
- geom_bar(data=df%>%filter(sector == msect, region == region_plot),
- aes(x=year,y=demand_EJ,group=technology,fill=technology),
- position=position_stack(),stat="identity", alpha = 0.9)+
- theme_light()+
- ggtitle(paste0("Final Energy Demand by Tech, ", sector_display, ", ", region_plot))+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90),
- strip.text.x = element_text(size = 13, color = "black"))+
- scale_x_continuous(breaks=years_plot)+
- scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1")+
- xlab("Year")+
- ylab("Final energy demand [EJ]")+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario) +
- guides(fill=guide_legend(title="Technology"))
-
- plot_psm_LDV = ggplot()+
- geom_bar(data=df%>%filter(sector == msect, region == region_plot, mode == "4W"),
- aes(x=year,y=demand_EJ,group=technology,fill=technology),
- position=position_stack(),stat="identity", alpha = 0.9)+
- theme_light()+
- ggtitle(paste0("Final Energy Demand by Tech, LDVs, ", region_plot))+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90),
- strip.text.x = element_text(size = 13, color = "black"),
- strip.background=element_rect(fill="white"),
- axis.text = element_text(size=13),
- title = element_text(size=13),
- legend.text = element_text(size=13))+
- scale_x_continuous(breaks=years_plot)+
- scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set1")+
- xlab("Year")+
- ylab("Final energy demand [EJ]")+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario) +
- guides(fill=guide_legend(title="Technology"))
-
- plot_list = list(plot_psm, plot_psm_LDV)
- return(plot_list)
-}
+# Inconvenience cost trend
+```{r, echo=FALSE, warning=FALSE}
+p=ggplot()+
+ geom_bar(data = inco_tech[iso == iso_plot & subsector_L1 == "trn_pass_road_LDV_4W" & vehicle_type == "Large Car and SUV" & year<=2100 & year>=2010], aes(x = as.character(year), y = pinco, group = technology, fill = technology), position = position_stack(), stat = "identity")+
+ facet_grid(~technology)+
+ theme_minimal()+
+ scale_fill_manual(values = cols)+
+ expand_limits(y = c(0,0.8))+
+ scale_x_discrete(breaks = c(2015,2050,2100))+
+ theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, vjust = +0.1),
+ legend.position = "none",
+ strip.background = element_rect(color = "grey"))+
+ labs(x = "", y = "Inconvenience cost [$/pkm]", title = paste0("Example of ", iso_plot))
-FE_modes_bar_oilcomponent(demandEJ = demandF_plot_EJ, msect="trn_pass", region=region_plot)
-FE_modes_bar_oilcomponent(demandEJ = demandF_plot_EJ, msect="trn_pass", region="GLO")
+p
```
+# Endogenous intensity for Liquids
+
+```{r, echo=FALSE, message=FALSE, warning=FALSE}
+## Choice of the energy intensity (of the new sales)
+intcompplotf = function(EF_shares, FV_shares, VS1_shares){
+ EF_shares = EF_shares[,c("iso", "year", "technology", "vehicle_type", "subsector_L1", "subsector_L2", "subsector_L3", "sector", "share","type")]
+ setnames(EF_shares, old="share", new = "shareINT")
+ FV_shares = FV_shares[iso == iso_plot & subsector_L1 == "trn_pass_road_LDV_4W" & technology == "Liquids"]
+ setnames(FV_shares, old="share", new = "shareF")
+ VS1_shares = VS1_shares[iso == iso_plot & subsector_L1 == "trn_pass_road_LDV_4W"]
+ shares_LDV = merge(FV_shares, EF_shares, all = FALSE, by = c("iso", "year", "technology", "vehicle_type", "subsector_L1"))
+
+ shares_LDV[, shareIF := shareF*shareINT]
+ shares_LDV <- shares_LDV[,.(shareIF=sum(shareIF)),by=c("iso","technology","type","vehicle_type","subsector_L1", "year")]
+
+ shares_LDV = merge(shares_LDV, VS1_shares, all = TRUE, by = c("iso", "year", "vehicle_type", "subsector_L1"))
+ shares_LDV[, shareIS1 := shareIF*share]
+ shares_LDV <- shares_LDV[,.(shareIS1=sum(shareIS1)),by=c("iso","type", "technology","subsector_L1","year")]
+ p = ggplot()+
+ geom_bar(data = shares_LDV[year<=2100 & year>=2025], aes(x=year,y=shareIS1, group = technology, fill = technology), alpha = 0.5, position = position_fill(), stat = "identity")+
+ geom_bar(data = shares_LDV[year<=2100 & year>=2025], aes(x=year,y=shareIS1, group = technology, fill = technology, alpha = type), position = position_fill(), stat = "identity")+
+ facet_wrap("technology")+
+ theme_minimal()+
+ expand_limits(y = c(0,1))+
+ scale_fill_manual("technology", values = cols)+
+ scale_alpha_discrete("Type")+
+ labs(y = "Share [%]", title = paste0("Energy intensity new sales of Liquids, example for ", iso_plot))
+
+ return(p)
-```{r, echo=FALSE}
-FE_modes_bar1=function(demandEJ, msect="trn_pass", region_plot){
- if(msect == "trn_pass")
- sector_display = "Passenger"
- if(msect == "trn_freight")
- sector_display = "Freight"
-
- ## group by subsector_L1 and summarise the demand
- df=demandEJ[, .(demand_EJ=sum(demand_EJ)),
- by = c("EDGE_scenario", "region", "year","subsector_L1","sector")]
- df=df[order(year) & year %in% years_plot]
- ## give proper names to the categories
- df=merge(df, edgeTrpLib::L1mapping, all.x=TRUE, by="subsector_L1")
- #plot
- plot_p=ggplot()+
- geom_bar(data=df%>%filter(sector == msect, region == region_plot),
- aes(x=year,y=demand_EJ,group=mode,fill=mode),
- position=position_stack(),stat="identity",color="black")+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario) +
- ylab("Energy (EJ)") +
- ggtitle(paste0("Final Energy Demand by Mode, ", sector_display, ", ", region_plot))+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90))+
- scale_x_continuous(breaks=years_plot)
-
- return(plot_p)
}
-FE_modes_bar1(demandEJ = demandF_plot_EJ, region_plot = region_plot)
+intcompplotf(logit_data$EF_shares, sharesFV, sharesVS1)
```
+# Sales of LDVs
+```{r, echo=FALSE, warning=FALSE}
+salesplot = function(sales_LDV){
+ sales_LDV = unique(sales_LDV[,c("iso","year", "technology", "shareFS1")])
+ sales_LDV <- sales_LDV[,.(shareFS1=sum(shareFS1)),by=c("iso","technology","year")]
+
+ p = ggplot()+
+ geom_bar(data = sales_LDV[year<=2050 & year>=2015 & iso == iso_plot], aes(x=as.numeric(as.character(year)),y=shareFS1, group = technology, fill = technology), position = position_stack(), stat = "identity")+
+ theme_minimal()+
+ scale_fill_manual("Technology", values = cols)+
+ expand_limits(y = c(0,1))+
+ scale_x_continuous(breaks = c(2015,2030,2050))+
+ theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, vjust = +0.1),
+ strip.background = element_rect(color = "grey"),
+ legend.position = "none")+
+ labs(x = "", y = "Market share on LDVs [%]", title = paste0("Sales composition, example of ", iso_plot))
-```{r, echo=FALSE}
-FE_modes_bar_oilVSelec=function(demandEJ, region_plot){
- sector_display = "Total transport"
- ## group by subsector_L1 and summarise the demand
- df=demandEJ[, .(demand_EJ=sum(demand_EJ)),
- by = c("EDGE_scenario", "region", "year","subsector_L1","sector","technology")]
- df[, tech_plot := ifelse(technology %in% c("BEV","Electric"), "Electriciy", NA)]
- df[, tech_plot := ifelse(technology %in% c("Liquids", "Hybrid Liquids"), "Liquids", tech_plot)]
- df=df[!is.na(tech_plot),] ## only liquids and electric driven entries interesting
- df=df[order(year) & year %in% years_plot]
- ## give proper names to the categories
- df=merge(df, edgeTrpLib::L1mapping, all.x=TRUE, by="subsector_L1")
- df[,short_names:=ifelse(mode %in% c("Buses","Rail Passenger","High Speed Rail"),"Other Passenger",NA)]
- df[,short_names:=ifelse(mode %in% c("2W","4W","Three Wheelers"),"LDV",short_names)]
- df[,short_names:=ifelse(mode %in% c("Domestic Aviation","International Aviation"),"Aviation",short_names)]
- df[,short_names:=ifelse(mode %in% c("International Shipping","Domestic Shipping"),"Shipping",short_names)]
- df[,short_names:=ifelse(mode %in% c("Road Freight","Rail Freight"),"Road and Rail Freight",short_names)]
-
- #plot
- plot_p=ggplot()+
- geom_bar(data=df%>%filter(region == region_plot, year ==2050),
- aes(x=tech_plot,y=demand_EJ,group=short_names,fill=short_names),
- position=position_stack(),stat="identity",alpha=0.95)+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario) +
- ylab("Energy (EJ)") +
- ggtitle(paste0("Final Energy Demand by Mode in 2050, total transport ", region_plot))+
- theme_light()+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90),
- axis.title.x = element_blank(),
- strip.text.x = element_text(size = 13, color = "black"),
- strip.background=element_rect(fill="white"),
- axis.text = element_text(size=13),
- title = element_text(size=13),
- legend.text = element_text(size=13))+
- scale_fill_brewer(palette = "Set2")+
- guides(fill=guide_legend(title="Transport mode"))
-
- return(plot_p)
+ return(p)
}
-FE_modes_bar_oilVSelec(demandEJ = demandF_plot_EJ, region_plot = region_plot)
+
+salesplot(sales_LDV)
```
+# Final energy demand
-## FE composition
-
-```{r, echo=FALSE}
-
-FE_modeshares_area=function(demandEJ){
- #group by subsector_L3 and summarise the demand
- df=demandEJ[, .(demand_EJ=sum(demand_EJ)),
- by = c("EDGE_scenario", "region", "year","subsector_L3")]
- #order by year
- df=df[order(year)]
- df=df[year>=2005,]
- #plot
- plot=ggplot()+
- geom_area(data=df %>% filter(year <= max(years_plot), region == region_plot),
- aes(x=year,y=demand_EJ,group=subsector_L3,fill=subsector_L3),
- color="black")+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario)+
- ylab("Energy (EJ)") +
- ggtitle("Final Energy Demand, Mode composition")+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1))
-
- return(plot)
+```{r, echo=FALSE, warning=FALSE}
+demandEJplotf = function(demandEJ){
+ ## EDGE results
+ demandEJ <- demandEJ[, c("sector", "subsector_L3", "subsector_L2", "subsector_L1", "vehicle_type", "technology", "iso", "year", "demand_EJ")]
+
+ ## attribute aggregated mode and vehicle names for plotting purposes, and aggregate
+ demandEJ[, aggr_mode := ifelse(subsector_L2 == "trn_pass_road_LDV", "LDV", NA)]
+ demandEJ[, aggr_mode := ifelse(subsector_L3 %in% c("Passenger Rail", "HSR", "International Aviation", "Domestic Aviation"), "Pass non LDV", aggr_mode)]
+ demandEJ[, aggr_mode := ifelse(subsector_L2 %in% c("trn_pass_road_bus", "Bus"), "Pass non LDV", aggr_mode)]
+ demandEJ[, aggr_mode := ifelse(is.na(aggr_mode), "Freight", aggr_mode)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(vehicle_type %in% c("Truck (0-1t)", "Truck (0-3.5t)", "Truck (0-2.7t)", "Truck (0-2t)"), "Trucks (<3.5t)", NA)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(vehicle_type %in% c("Truck (16-32t)", "Truck (3.5-16t)", "Truck (6-15t)", "Truck (4.5-12t)", "Truck (2.7-4.5t)", "Truck (4.5-15t)"), "Trucks (3.5t-16)", veh)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(vehicle_type %in% c("Truck (>15t)", "Truck (16-32t)", "Truck (>32t)" ), "Trucks (>16)", veh)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(grepl("Large|SUV|Midsize|Multipurpose Vehicle|Van|3W Rural", vehicle_type), "Large Cars", veh)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(grepl("Subcompact|Compact|Mini|Three-Wheeler", vehicle_type), "Small Cars", veh)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(grepl("Motorcycle|Moped|Scooter", vehicle_type), "Motorbikes", veh)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(grepl("bus|Bus", vehicle_type), "Bus", veh)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(grepl("Freight Rail_tmp_vehicletype", vehicle_type), "Freight Rail", veh)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(grepl("Passenger Rail|HSR", vehicle_type), "Passenger Rail", veh)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(subsector_L3 == "Domestic Ship", "Domestic Shipping", veh)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(subsector_L3 == "International Ship", "International Shipping", veh)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(subsector_L3 == "Domestic Aviation", subsector_L3, veh)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(subsector_L3 == "International Aviation", subsector_L3, veh)]
+ demandEJ[, veh := ifelse(is.na(veh), vehicle_type, veh)]
+ demandEJ = demandEJ[,.(demand_EJ = sum(demand_EJ)), by = c("iso", "year", "aggr_mode", "veh")]
+
+ demandEJ[, vehicle_type_plot := factor(veh, levels = c("LDV","Freight Rail", "Trucks (<3.5t)", "Trucks (3.5t-16)", "Truck (>12t)", "Trucks (>16)", "Trucks","Domestic Shipping", "International Shipping",
+ "Motorbikes", "Small Cars", "Large Cars", "Van",
+ "Domestic Aviation", "International Aviation", "Bus", "Passenger Rail",
+ "Freight", "Freight (Inland)", "Pass non LDV", "Pass non LDV (Domestic)"))]
+
+ legend_ord <- c("Freight Rail", "Trucks (<3.5t)", "Trucks (3.5t-16)", "Truck (>12t)", "Trucks (>16)", "International Shipping","Domestic Shipping", "Trucks",
+ "Motorbikes", "Small Cars", "Large Cars", "Van",
+ "International Aviation", "Domestic Aviation","Bus", "Passenger Rail",
+ "Freight", "LDV", "Pass non LDV", "Freight (Inland)", "Pass non LDV (Domestic)")
+
+ demandEJ = merge(demandEJ, REMIND2ISO_MAPPING, by = "iso")
+ demandEJ = demandEJ[,.(demand_EJ= sum(demand_EJ)), by = c("region", "year", "vehicle_type_plot", "aggr_mode")]
+
+ p=ggplot()+
+ geom_area(data = demandEJ[year > 2010], aes(x=year, y=demand_EJ, group = interaction(vehicle_type_plot,aggr_mode), fill = vehicle_type_plot), color = "black", position= position_stack())+
+ facet_wrap(~region, nrow = 4)
+ labs(x = "", y = "Final Energy demand [EJ]")+
+ theme_minimal()+
+ # scale_fill_manual("Vehicle Type",values = cols, breaks=legend_ord)+
+ theme(axis.text.x = element_text(size = 8),
+ axis.text.y = element_text(size=8),
+ axis.title = element_text(size = 9),
+ title = element_text(size = 9),
+ legend.text = element_text(size = 9),
+ legend.title = element_text(size =9),
+ strip.text = element_text(size=9))
+
+
+ return(p)
}
-p=FE_modeshares_area(demandEJ = demandF_plot_EJ)
-p
-## ggsave("FE_modeshares.png")
+## Final Energy demand
+demandEJplotf(demand_ej)
```
+# LDVs final energy demand
+```{r, echo=FALSE, warning=FALSE}
+## demand EJ for LDV, divided by fuel type
+
+demandEJLDVplotf <- function(demandEJ){
+ demandEJ = demandEJ[subsector_L1 == "trn_pass_road_LDV_4W",]
+ demandEJ <- demandEJ[, c("sector", "subsector_L3", "subsector_L2", "subsector_L1", "vehicle_type", "technology", "iso", "year", "demand_EJ")]
+
+ demandEJ = merge(demandEJ, REMIND2ISO_MAPPING, by = "iso")
+ demandEJ[technology == "Hybrid Liquids", technology := "Liquids"]
+ demandEJ[technology == "FCEV", technology := "Hydrogen"]
+ demandEJ[technology == "BEV", technology := "Electricity"]
+ demandEJ = demandEJ[, .(demand_EJ = sum(demand_EJ)), by = c("region", "year", "technology")]
+
+ p = ggplot()+
+ geom_area(data = demandEJ[year > 2010], aes(x=year, y=demand_EJ, group = technology, fill = technology), color="black",position= position_stack())+
+ labs(x = "", y = "Final energy demand for LDVs [EJ]")+
+ facet_wrap(~region, nrow = 4)
+ theme_minimal()+
+ # scale_fill_manual("Vehicle Type",values = cols, breaks=legend_ord)+
+ theme(axis.text.x = element_text(size = 7),
+ axis.text.y = element_text(size=7),
+ axis.title = element_text(size = 8),
+ title = element_text(size = 8),
+ legend.text = element_text(size = 8),
+ legend.title = element_text(size = 8),
+ strip.text = element_text(size=8))
+
+ return(p)
-```{r, echo=FALSE}
-## fuel use by sector
-fuel_shares_area=function(demandEJ, msect="trn_pass", region_plot){
- if(msect == "trn_pass")
- sector_display = "Passenger"
- if(msect == "trn_freight")
- sector_display = "Freight"
- ##group by sector and technology and summarise demand
- df=demandEJ[, .(demand_EJ=sum(demand_EJ)),
- by = c("EDGE_scenario", "region", "year","technology","sector")]
-
- df=df[order(year) & year>=2005,]
- #plot
- plot1=ggplot()+
- geom_area(data=df%>%filter(sector == msect, year <= max(years_plot), region == region_plot),
- aes(x=year,y=demand_EJ,group=technology,fill=technology),position="fill")+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario)+
- ggtitle(paste0("Final Energy Demand, ", sector_display, ", Fuel Composition"))+
- ylab("Share")
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1))
-
- return(plot1)
}
-p=fuel_shares_area(demandEJ = demandF_plot_EJ, region_plot = region_plot)
-p
+demandEJLDVplotf(demand_ej)
```
+# Energy services demand
+
+```{r, echo=FALSE, warning=FALSE}
+demandpkmplotf = function(demandpkm){
+ ## REMIND-EDGE results
+ demandpkm <- demandpkm[,c("sector","subsector_L3","subsector_L2",
+ "subsector_L1","vehicle_type","technology", "iso","year","demand_F")]
+ demandpkm[,demand_F:=demand_F ## in millionkm
+ *1e-6 ## in trillion km
+ ]
+ ## attribute aggregated mode and vehicle names for plotting purposes, and aggregate
+ demandpkm[, aggr_mode := ifelse(subsector_L1 %in% c("Three-Wheeler", "trn_pass_road_LDV_4W"), "LDV", NA)]
+ demandpkm[, aggr_mode := ifelse(sector %in% c("trn_freight", "trn_shipping_intl"), "Freight", aggr_mode)]
+ demandpkm[, aggr_mode := ifelse(sector %in% c("trn_aviation_intl"), "Pass. non LDV", aggr_mode)]
+ demandpkm[, aggr_mode := ifelse(subsector_L2 %in% c("trn_pass_road_bus", "HSR_tmp_subsector_L2", "Passenger Rail_tmp_subsector_L2", "Cycle_tmp_subsector_L2", "Walk_tmp_subsector_L2", "Domestic Aviation_tmp_subsector_L2", "Bus") | subsector_L1 %in% c("trn_pass_road_LDV_2W"), "Pass. non LDV", aggr_mode)]
+
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(vehicle_type %in% c("Truck (0-1t)", "Truck (0-3.5t)"), "Trucks (<3.5t)", "Trucks (<3.5t)")]
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(vehicle_type %in% c("Truck (16-32t)", "Truck (3.5-16t)", "Truck (6-15t)"), "Trucks (3.5t-16)", veh)]
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(vehicle_type %in% c("Truck (>15t)", "Truck (16-32t)", "Truck (>32t)" ), "Trucks (>16)", veh)]
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(grepl("Large|SUV|Midsize|Multipurpose Vehicle|Van|3W Rural", vehicle_type), "Large Cars", veh)]
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(grepl("Subcompact|Compact|Mini|Three-Wheeler_tmp_vehicletype", vehicle_type), "Small Cars", veh)]
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(grepl("Motorcycle|Moped|Scooter", vehicle_type), "Motorbikes", veh)]
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(grepl("bus|Bus", vehicle_type), "Bus", veh)]
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(subsector_L3 == "Domestic Aviation", "Domestic Aviation", veh)]
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(subsector_L3 == "International Aviation", "International Aviation", veh)]
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(grepl("Freight Rail", vehicle_type), "Freight Rail", veh)]
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(grepl("Passenger Rail|HSR", vehicle_type), "Passenger Rail", veh)]
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(grepl("Ship", vehicle_type), "Shipping", veh)]
+ demandpkm[, veh := ifelse(grepl("Cycle|Walk", subsector_L3), "Non motorized", veh)]
+ demandpkm = demandpkm[,.(demand_F = sum(demand_F)), by = c("iso", "year", "aggr_mode", "veh")]
+ setnames(demandpkm, old = "veh", new = "vehicle_type")
+
+
+ demandpkm[, vehicle_type_plot := factor(vehicle_type, levels = c("LDV","Freight Rail", "Trucks (<3.5t)", "Trucks (3.5t-16)", "Trucks (>16)", "Trucks",
+ "Motorbikes", "Small Cars", "Large Cars", "Van",
+ "Domestic Aviation", "International Aviation","Bus", "Passenger Rail",
+ "Freight", "Non motorized", "Shipping"))]
+
+
+ demandpkm[, mode := ifelse(vehicle_type %in% c("Freight", "Freight Rail", "Trucks", "Trucks (3.5t-16)", "Trucks (>16)", "Shipping"),"freight", "pass")]
+
+ demandpkm = merge(demandpkm, REMIND2ISO_MAPPING, by = "iso")
+ demandpkm = demandpkm[, .(demand_F = sum(demand_F)), by = c("region", "year", "vehicle_type_plot", "aggr_mode", "mode")]
+
+ demandpkm = demandpkm[order(aggr_mode)]
+
+ p = ggplot()+
+ geom_area(data = demandpkm[mode =="pass"& year > 2010], aes(x=year, y=demand_F, group = interaction(vehicle_type_plot,aggr_mode), fill = vehicle_type_plot), color="black",position= position_stack())+
+ labs(x = "", y = "Energy Services demand [trillion pkm]")+
+ facet_wrap(~region, nrow = 4)
+ theme_minimal()+
+ # scale_fill_manual("Vehicle Type",values = cols, breaks=legend_ord)+
+ theme(axis.text.x = element_text(size = 7),
+ axis.text.y = element_text(size=7),
+ axis.title = element_text(size = 8),
+ title = element_text(size = 8),
+ legend.text = element_text(size = 8),
+ legend.title = element_text(size = 8),
+ strip.text = element_text(size=8))
-```{r, echo=FALSE}
-SW_trend_plot = function(FV_SW,sector_plot){
- if (sector_plot == "trn_pass") {
- FV_SW=FV_SW[iso=="DEU" & vehicle_type =="Large Car and SUV",]
- } else if (sector_plot =="trn_freight"){
- FV_SW=FV_SW[iso=="DEU" & vehicle_type =="Truck (16-32t)",]
- } else if (sector_plot =="trn_aviation_intl"){
- FV_SW=FV_SW[iso=="DEU" & subsector_L3 =="International Aviation",]
- } else if (sector_plot =="trn_shipping_intl"){
- FV_SW=FV_SW[iso=="DEU" & subsector_L3 =="International Ship",]
- }
- FV_SW[,type:=ifelse(technology=="Liquids", "Conventional ICE (Liquid fuels)",NA)]
- FV_SW[,type:=ifelse(technology=="NG", "Natural Gas ICE",type)]
- FV_SW[,type:=ifelse(technology=="BEV", "Alternative fuels: BEV",type)]
- FV_SW[,type:=ifelse(technology=="FCEV", "Alternative fuels: FCEV",type)]
- FV_SW[,type:=ifelse(technology=="Hybrid Liquids", "Unconventional ICE (Hybrid)",type)]
-
- p=ggplot()+
- geom_line(data=FV_SW%>%filter(year>= min(years_plot), year<=max(years_plot)),aes(x=year,y=sw,group=type,color=type),alpha = 0.8,size=1.5)+
- theme_light()+
- facet_wrap(~EDGE_scenario)+
- theme(axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 90, hjust = 1),
- axis.text = element_text(size=13),
- title = element_text(size=14),
- legend.text = element_text(size=13))+
- scale_x_continuous(breaks=years_plot)+
- xlab("Year")+
- ylab ("Preference factors tech. types [-]")+
- ggtitle(paste0("Preference factors trend for tech. types for ", sector_plot, " [-]"))+
- theme(strip.text.x = element_text(size=13,color="black"),
- strip.background = element_rect(fill="white",color = "black"))+
- scale_color_discrete(name="Technology type")
return(p)
- }
-p=SW_trend_plot(FV_SW=sw_tech,sector_plot)
-p
+}
+
+## energy services demand
+demandpkmplotf(demand_km)
```
+# CO2 intensity of new sales
+
+```{r, echo=FALSE, warning=FALSE}
+
+CO2km_intensity_newsalesplotf = function(shares_LDV, mj_km_data, sharesVS1, shares_source_liquids){
+ shares_source_liquids[, technology := ifelse(variable %in% c("FE|Transport|Liquids|Oil", "FE|Transport|Liquids|Coal"), "Oil", "Biodiesel")]
+ shares_source_liquids = shares_source_liquids[,.(value = sum(value)), by = c("model","scenario","region", "period", "unit","technology")]
+ shares_source_liquids = shares_source_liquids[region != "World"]
+ shares_source_liquids[, region:=as.character(region)]
+ shares_source_liquids[, year := period]
+ shares_source_liquids[, period:=NULL]
+ gdp <- getRMNDGDP(scenario = "SSP2", usecache = T)
+ shares_source_liquids <- disaggregate_dt(shares_source_liquids, REMIND2ISO_MAPPING,
+ valuecol="value",
+ datacols=c("model","scenario", "unit","technology"),
+ weights=gdp)
+
+ shares_source_liquids[, shareliq := value/sum(value),by=c("iso", "year")]
+
+ # ## CO2 content
+ # CO2_petrol = 3.1 ## gCO2/gFUEL
+ # CO2_biodiesel = 2.7 ## TODO this number is made up!
+ # CO2_cng = 2.7 ## gCO2/gFUEL
+
+ ## TODO of CO2 content of biodiesel is made up! gCO2/gFUEL
+ emi_fuel = data.table(technology = c("Oil", "Biodiesel", "NG"), ei_gF_MJ = c(20, 20, 20), emi_cGO2_gF = c(3.1, 3.1, 2.7))
+
+ emi_liquids = merge(shares_source_liquids, emi_fuel, all.x = TRUE, by = "technology")
+ emi_liquids = emi_liquids[, .(ei_gF_MJ = sum(shareliq*ei_gF_MJ), emi_cGO2_gF = sum(shareliq*emi_cGO2_gF)), by = c("iso", "year")][, technology := "Liquids"]
+ emi_NG = cbind(emi_fuel[technology == "NG"], unique(shares_source_liquids[,c("year", "iso")]))
+
+ emi_fuel = rbind(emi_NG, emi_liquids)
+ emi_fuel[, gCO2_MJ := ei_gF_MJ*emi_cGO2_gF]
+
+ emi_fuel = merge(mj_km_data[subsector_L1 == "trn_pass_road_LDV_4W"], emi_fuel, all.x = TRUE, by = c("iso", "year", "technology"))
+ emi_fuel[is.na(gCO2_MJ) & !technology %in% c("Liquids", "NG"), gCO2_MJ := 0]
+ emi_fuel[, gCO2_km := MJ_km * gCO2_MJ]
+
+ totalemi = merge(emi_fuel, shares_LDV, all.y = TRUE, by = c("iso", "year", "technology", "vehicle_type", "subsector_L1"), all.x = TRUE)
+ totalemi = totalemi[!is.na(share) & !is.na(gCO2_km)]
+ totalemi[, gCO2_km_ave := gCO2_km*share]
+
+
+ ##totalemi = merge(totalemi, demand_ej_plot)
+
+
+ totalemi = totalemi[,.(gCO2_km_ave = sum(gCO2_km_ave)), by = c("year", "iso", "vehicle_type")]
+
+ totalemi = merge(totalemi, sharesVS1, all.x = TRUE, by = c("iso", "year", "vehicle_type"))
+
+ totalemi = totalemi[,.(gCO2_km_ave = sum(gCO2_km_ave*share)), by = c("iso", "year", "subsector_L1")]
+
+
+ totalemi = merge(totalemi, REMIND2ISO_MAPPING, by="iso")
+ totalemi = merge(totalemi, gdp, all.x=TRUE, by = c("iso", "year"))
+ totalemi[, share := weight/sum(weight), by = c("year", "region")]
+ totalemi = totalemi[,.(gCO2_km_ave = sum(gCO2_km_ave*share)), by = c("year", "region")]
+
+ p = ggplot()+
+ geom_line(data = totalemi, aes(x = year, y = gCO2_km_ave))+
+ labs(title = "gCO2/km average", y = "Average gCO2/km LDVs new additions")+
+ facet_wrap(~region, nrow = 4)+
+ theme_minimal()
+
+ return(p)
+}
+shares_source_liquids = miffile[variable %in% c("FE|Transport|Liquids|Biomass", "FE|Transport|Liquids|Coal", "FE|Transport|Liquids|Oil"),]
+CO2km_intensity_newsalesplotf(sales_LDV, mj_km_data, sharesVS1 = vintages$shares$VS1_shares, shares_source_liquids)
+```
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